OPR on the rise. What happen next?

February 3rd, 2018 Leave a comment

opr-opinionby Miichael Yeoh

The recent announcement by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) sees the increase of Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points from 3.00% to 3.25%.

“With the economy firmly on a steady growth path, BNM said the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to normalise the degree of monetary accommodation.” Reported by  NST

Thus BNM thinks it’s about time to increase the OPR based on the strengthening of Malaysia’s economy. OPR had been stagnant since July 2016

Some banks Base Lending Rate (BLR) and Base Rate (BR) that increases:

  • Public Bank (Effective 30th Jan 2018 onwards) BLR 6.72% to 6.97%, BR from 3.52% to 3.77%
  • CIMB (Effective 2nd Feb 2018 onwards) BLR 6.75% to 7%, BR 3.9% to 4.15%
  • Maybank (Effective 29th Jan 2018) BLR 6.65% to 6.95%, BR 3.00% to 3.25%
  • Affin (Effective from 30th Jan 2018) BLR 6.5% to 6.75%, BR 3.85% to 4.10%
  • Hong Leong Bank (Effective 30th Jan 2018) BLR 6.79% to 7.04%, BR 3.78% to 4.03%

What will happen to Malaysia with such an increase?

  1. Banks will increase their profits
  2. Fixed deposit rates will increase (Good news for those who likes savings)
  3. Base Lending Rate (BLR) and Base Rate (BR) will increase (Thumbs down for borrowers)
  4. Inflation will decrease. We are at 3.7% in 2017.

Let’s talk about BLR and BR. If OPR increases, they will go up also. What will happen to the borrower’s instalment?

  1. Monthly installment goes up
  2. Maintain monthly installment but your borrowing years will increase.

In summary, something got to increase.

For example:

Loan amount: RM 500,000

Current interest rate: 4.5 %

Tenure: 30 years

Current installment: RM2,553.43

An increase of 25 basis point equivalent to 0.25% to 4.75% will see an increase of instalment of 2,608.24. An increase of RM 54.81. Some people will say this is not much some says otherwise.

In reality OPR are volatile. In can either go up or go down. When you buy a house are you going to be worried for the next 30 years when you take up a loan with the bank?

In my seminars and I mentioned before, borrowers must know how to hedge against the interest rate as we will be taking the loan for long term. It will be too late if borrowers start to panic now. Do you know 20 years ago when I was working in the bank the interest rate is more than 10%.

What you should be doing is to start proper planning whether you are the first time property buyer or investor.

I have a good friend. He drove all the way from Kuala Lumpur to Penang to meet me. He was worried after he buys the house what will happen if interest rate were to increase. This is the first time he is buying a house and he does a very carefully planning as this will be his biggest borrowing going forward.

What I told him next he is still doing until today. Since he already do a proper planning, he will know how much excess fund he has after deducting his instalment. I encourage him to take up a flexi loan. Put the excess fund into your flexi account. What will happen is that it will help to reduce the interest payable. When the interest rate increase, he will not feel the extra burden as he has already paid more than his installment. This is called hedging against interest rate.

I always belief in doing proper planning. I hope my write up helps.

See you on my next article.

– Miichael Yeoh
(CEO & Founder of GM Training Academy PLT)

(www.miichaelyeoh.com)

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  1. Anton Bond
    February 3rd, 2018 at 21:05 | #1

    “Inflation will increase. We are at 3.7% in 2017. How much you think will increase again?”
    Sorry Michael, I thought increasing interest rate have the tendency to reduce inflation rate and not the other way round. That was the intention of the central bank anyway.

  2. HK Tan
    February 4th, 2018 at 07:30 | #2

    Are you sure when the interest rate goes up, the inflation also goes up ? what a CEO comment.

    Get the fact correct, the way to curb inflation is to increase the interest rate so that people will not spend the future money by loan and keep the current money into bank for more return, with this market will cool down.

  3. HK Tan
    February 4th, 2018 at 07:30 | #3

    Are you sure when the interest rate goes up, the inflation also goes up ? what a CEO comment.

    Get the fact correct, the way to curb inflation is to increase the interest rate so that people will not spend the future money by loan and keep the current money into bank for more return, with this market will cool down. this way inflation will go down

  4. ==
    February 4th, 2018 at 07:40 | #4

    Yes, this is basic economy increase interest rate= decrease inflation rate but malaysian dif, malaysian dont like keep money in bank, but keep spend money, borrow money for invest property even higher interest

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